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Conditional Attribute Estimation with Autoregressive Sequence Models

Summary

This paper introduces Conditional Attribute Transformers (CAT), a method that jointly estimates next-token probability and attribute values conditional on each token choice in a single forward pass, enabling per-token credit assignment, counterfactual analysis, and steerable generation, achieving state-of-the-art on sparse reward tasks.

SourcearXiv AIAuthor: Erica Stutz, Giacomo Marino, Daniella Meeker, Qiao Liu, Andrew J. Loza
Conditional Attribute Estimation with Autoregressive Sequence Models
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[2605.14004] Conditional Attribute Estimation with Autoregressive Sequence Models

[Submitted on 13 May 2026]

Title:Conditional Attribute Estimation with Autoregressive Sequence Models

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Abstract:Generative models are often trained with a next-token prediction objective, yet many downstream applications require the ability to estimate or control sequence-level properties. Next-token prediction can lead to overfitting of local patterns during training, underfitting of global structure, and requires significant downstream modifications or expensive sampling to guide or predict the global attributes of generated samples at inference time. Here, we introduce Conditional Attribute Transformers, a novel method for jointly estimating the next-token probability and the value of an attribute conditional on each potential next token selection. This framework enables three critical capabilities within a single forward pass, without modification of the input sequence: (1) per-token credit assignment across an entire sequence, by identifying how each token in a sequence is associated with an attribute's value; (2) counterfactual analysis, by quantifying attribute differences conditional on alternative next token choices; (3) steerable generation, by decoding sequences based on a combination of next-token and attribute likelihoods. Our approach achieves state of the art performance on sparse reward tasks, improves next-token prediction at sufficient model sizes, estimates attribute probabilities orders of magnitude faster than sampling, and can guide decoding of autoregressive sequence models on a range of language tasks.

Subjects:

Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI)

Cite as: arXiv:2605.14004 [cs.AI]

(or arXiv:2605.14004v1 [cs.AI] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2605.14004

arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

Submission history

From: Erica Stutz [view email] [v1] Wed, 13 May 2026 18:11:16 UTC (1,738 KB)

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Key points and analysis

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Key points

  • CAT jointly estimates next-token probability and attribute values in one forward pass.
  • Enables per-token credit assignment, counterfactual analysis, and steerable generation.
  • Achieves state-of-the-art on sparse reward tasks and estimates attributes orders of magnitude faster.

Highlights and analysis are generated automatically and may contain errors. Check the original source.