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The Curse of Precision: A Data Scaling Law for High-Precision Robotic Manipulation

Summary

A new study reveals a super-exponential scaling law between required demonstrations and target precision in robotic manipulation. The precision limit is not a fixed constant but an emergent property of the robot system, including its sensors and expert policy. Improving system components can lower the precision limit, expanding achievable precision. The work provides a theoretical framework and practical metric for high-precision robotic systems.

SourcearXiv RoboticsAuthor: Cuijie Xu, Yuanfan Xu, Min Xue, Jianjie Lin, Jian Wang, Xudong Zhang, Yu Wang, Jincheng Yu
The Curse of Precision: A Data Scaling Law for High-Precision Robotic Manipulation
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[Submitted on 25 Jul 2026]

Title:The Curse of Precision: A Data Scaling Law for High-Precision Robotic Manipulation

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Abstract:While scaling laws for imitation learning have primarily focused on generalization in open-world settings, the relationship between data and precision in closed-world tasks like robotic assembly remains largely unexplored. This paper systematically investigates this relationship and introduces a novel scaling law. We find that to achieve a fixed success rate, the required number of demonstrations $N$ grows super-exponentially as the target precision $P$ approaches a limit $c$. This relationship is accurately captured by the model $\log(N) \propto 1/(P-c)$. Crucially, we reveal that the limit precision $c$ is not a static physical constant of the task but an emergent property of the entire agent system, including its sensors and expert policy. Through experiments on canonical manipulation tasks, we validate this law and demonstrate that improving system components, such as adding a wrist camera or using a more effective expert, measurably lowers $c$, thus expanding the system's achievable precision. Our work provides a new theoretical framework for precision in robotics and a quantitative metric to evaluate system capabilities. Furthermore, these findings provide a practical methodology for guiding the development and debugging of high-precision manipulation systems.

Comments: 8 pages, 4 figures. Accepted to the 2026 IEEE International Conference on Robotics and Automation (ICRA 2026)

Subjects:

Robotics (cs.RO)

Cite as: arXiv:2607.23108 [cs.RO]

(or arXiv:2607.23108v1 [cs.RO] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2607.23108

arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

Submission history

From: Cuijie Xu [view email] [v1] Sat, 25 Jul 2026 08:41:52 UTC (3,893 KB)

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Key points and analysis

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Key points

  • Discovered super-exponential scaling between demonstrations and precision.
  • Precision limit is an emergent property of the agent system, not a physical constant.
  • Enhancing sensors or expert policy lowers the precision limit, improving system capability.
  • Provides a quantitative metric for evaluating and debugging high-precision manipulation systems.

Highlights and analysis are generated automatically and may contain errors. Check the original source.