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The Confidence Score: a New Measure on Kernels

Summary

Researchers propose the "Confidence Score", a new kernel measure that replaces traditional alignment-to-ideal-kernel metrics. It measures alignment between an encoding of ground truth and the kernel-projected ground truth, allowing kernels that preserve intra-class structure to score highly, and shows higher correlation with classification accuracy on real and synthetic datasets.

SourcearXiv Machine LearningAuthor: Elizabeth Hofer, Martin v. Mohrenschildt
The Confidence Score: a New Measure on Kernels
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[Submitted on 3 Nov 2026]

Title:The Confidence Score: a New Measure on Kernels

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Abstract:Across a wide range of applications, kernel measures are used to tune hyperparameters, select among candidate kernels, and assess the suitability of kernels for specific learning tasks. For classification, kernel measures are used to predict which kernels may produce accurate kernel classifiers. Many existing kernel measures, such as alignment to the ideal kernel, are designed to reward kernels which captures all samples from the same class as similar. While effective in many settings, this requirement is unnecessarily restrictive for classification, where classes may exhibit substantial internal structure. In this work, the "Confidence Score", a new kernel measure, is proposed. Unlike alignment-to-the-ideal kernel measures, the Confidence Score measures the alignment between an encoding of the ground truth and that ground truth projected by the kernel, allowing kernels that preserve intra-class structure to achieve high scores. Through experiments, it is demonstrated that the Confidence Score exhibits a higher correlation with classification accuracy across a variety of kernels on both real-world and synthetic datasets, compared to select other kernel measures.

Comments: 27 pages

Subjects:

Machine Learning (cs.LG); Signal Processing (eess.SP)

Cite as: arXiv:2611.05528 [cs.LG]

(or arXiv:2611.05528v1 [cs.LG] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2611.05528

arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

Submission history

From: Martin Von Mohrenschildt Dr. [view email] [v1] Tue, 3 Nov 2026 19:25:58 UTC (1,827 KB)

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Key points

  • The Confidence Score measures alignment between ground-truth encoding and kernel-projected ground truth instead of requiring same-class samples to be similar
  • It permits kernels that preserve intra-class structure to achieve high scores, overcoming limitations of ideal-kernel alignment
  • Experiments show higher correlation with classification accuracy than select other kernel measures
  • Useful for kernel hyperparameter tuning, kernel selection, and assessing suitability for classification tasks

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