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Obshazard-bench: Benchmarking Multimodal Foundation Models for Real-Time Disaster Intelligence from Raw Earth Observation Streams

arXiv:2608.00012v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs) are increasingly used to interpret Earth observation data, yet their capability to support real-world disaster emergency response remains insufficiently evaluated. Existing remote sensing benchmarks largely rely on static, post-hoc, and expert-processed products, such as gridded reanalysis data, which are difficult to align with operational disaster scenarios where hazards evolve rapidly and decisions must be made under strict time constraints. To bridge this gap, we introduce Obshazard-bench, a real-time, observation-driven benchmark for evaluating disaster intelligence in MLLMs. Unlike image-centric or post-event benchmarks, Obshazard-bench directly integrates raw, high-frequency satellite sounding streams from diverse satellite sensors with concurrent ground-station observations, historical disaster records, and socio-economic indicators, bypassing delayed expert-processing and physical-inversion pipelines. The benchmark covers 8 major disaster categories and 28 sub-categories across more than 60 countries, incorporating over 120 historically documented extreme-event cases and thousands of lifecycle-oriented VQA samples. Moreover, Obshazard-bench further defines a three-stage evaluation taxonomy aligned with the operational disaster workflow: Predictive Crisis Anticipation for pre-disaster risk detection and early forecasting, Active Evolution Reasoning for in-situ disaster tracking and termination prediction, and Multi-faceted Impact Quantification for post-disaster magnitude deduction, humanitarian burden estimation, and socio-economic impact assessment. Experiments on representative general-purpose and Earth-focused foundation models reveal substantial limitations in transforming raw multi-channel physical observations into temporally grounded and decision-relevant disaster reasoning.

SourcearXiv Computational LinguisticsAuthor: Fengxiang Wang, Qiuyang Yu, Yueying Li, Mingshuo Chen, Chengchi Fei, Kaiyi Xu, Lixin Gu, Wangxu Wei, Junchao Gong, Lipeng Ma, Jiong Wang, Fenghua Ling, Wenlong Zhang, Xue Yang, Wenjing Yang, Ben Fei, Long Lan

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[Submitted on 24 Jun 2026]

Title:Obshazard-bench: Benchmarking Multimodal Foundation Models for Real-Time Disaster Intelligence from Raw Earth Observation Streams

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Abstract:Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs) are increasingly used to interpret Earth observation data, yet their capability to support real-world disaster emergency response remains insufficiently evaluated. Existing remote sensing benchmarks largely rely on static, post-hoc, and expert-processed products, such as gridded reanalysis data, which are difficult to align with operational disaster scenarios where hazards evolve rapidly and decisions must be made under strict time constraints. To bridge this gap, we introduce Obshazard-bench, a real-time, observation-driven benchmark for evaluating disaster intelligence in MLLMs. Unlike image-centric or post-event benchmarks, Obshazard-bench directly integrates raw, high-frequency satellite sounding streams from diverse satellite sensors with concurrent ground-station observations, historical disaster records, and socio-economic indicators, bypassing delayed expert-processing and physical-inversion pipelines. The benchmark covers 8 major disaster categories and 28 sub-categories across more than 60 countries, incorporating over 120 historically documented extreme-event cases and thousands of lifecycle-oriented VQA samples. Moreover, Obshazard-bench further defines a three-stage evaluation taxonomy aligned with the operational disaster workflow: Predictive Crisis Anticipation for pre-disaster risk detection and early forecasting, Active Evolution Reasoning for in-situ disaster tracking and termination prediction, and Multi-faceted Impact Quantification for post-disaster magnitude deduction, humanitarian burden estimation, and socio-economic impact assessment. Experiments on representative general-purpose and Earth-focused foundation models reveal substantial limitations in transforming raw multi-channel physical observations into temporally grounded and decision-relevant disaster reasoning.

Subjects:

Computation and Language (cs.CL); Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI); Computers and Society (cs.CY); Machine Learning (cs.LG)

Cite as: arXiv:2608.00012 [cs.CL]

(or arXiv:2608.00012v1 [cs.CL] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2608.00012

arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite

Submission history

From: Fengxiang Wang [view email] [v1] Wed, 24 Jun 2026 07:51:49 UTC (3,351 KB)

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