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Human-in-the-Loop Contextual Bandits for Short-Term Rental Dynamic Pricing: Structural Equivalence of Historical Warm-Up and Approval-Gated Live Learning

This paper introduces the Human-in-the-Loop Gated Bandit (HITL-GB) framework for dynamic pricing in short-term rental markets, where a contextual bandit generates price recommendations that a human agent can accept, modify, or reject. The authors show that historical pricing data collected under a deterministic policy is structurally equivalent to on-policy warm-up data, bypassing the cold-start phase. Validated on real-world STR data from 1,461 nights, the warm-up reduces effective cold-start from ~150 to ~30 episodes. The approach is domain-agnostic, applicable to clinical drug dosing, credit origination, content moderation, and radiology.

SourcearXiv Machine LearningAuthor: Oleg Miroshnichenko

[2606.02595] Human-in-the-Loop Contextual Bandits for Short-Term Rental Dynamic Pricing: Structural Equivalence of Historical Warm-Up and Approval-Gated Live Learning

[Submitted on 22 May 2026]

Title:Human-in-the-Loop Contextual Bandits for Short-Term Rental Dynamic Pricing: Structural Equivalence of Historical Warm-Up and Approval-Gated Live Learning

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Abstract:Dynamic pricing in short-term rental (STR) markets presents a distinctive challenge for online learning algorithms: pricing decisions carry significant financial risk, operators require explainability, and market feedback is sparse (one booking outcome per listed night). We introduce the Human-in-the-Loop Gated Bandit (HITL-GB) framework, in which a contextual bandit algorithm generates price recommendations but a human agent retains authority to accept, modify, or reject each recommendation before it is applied. We show that under this approval constraint, historical pricing data -- collected under a prior deterministic policy -- is structurally equivalent to on-policy warm-up data for initialising the bandit's posterior, bypassing the weeks-to-months cold-start period that renders pure online bandit learning impractical in sparse-feedback markets. We formalise the approval-gated reward signal, derive a regularised ridge-regression warm-up procedure from historical episodes, and validate the approach on real STR production data (anonymised urban market, 2 rooms, April 2022 -- April 2026, 1,461 nightly pricing episodes). Our warm-up procedure compresses effective cold-start from ~150 episodes to ~30 episodes when initialising agents from the Hierarchical Factored Thompson Sampling (HF-TS) family. We further argue that the structural equivalence result is domain-agnostic: any high-stakes domain where human approval is legally or operationally required -- including clinical drug dosing, credit origination, content moderation, and radiological diagnosis -- satisfies the same conditions and benefits from the same warm-up strategy. In regulated industries, mandatory human oversight is thus a statistical asset rather than a deployment constraint.

Subjects:

Machine Learning (cs.LG)

MSC classes: I.2.6, G.3, J.4

Cite as: arXiv:2606.02595 [cs.LG]

(or arXiv:2606.02595v1 [cs.LG] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2606.02595

arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite

Submission history

From: Oleg Miroshnichenko [view email] [v1] Fri, 22 May 2026 22:07:56 UTC (318 KB)

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