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XGBoost beat LLMs at finding civilian-harm posts in Ukraine war Telegram data

Bellingcat developed an XGBoost-based machine learning model that dramatically reduced the time needed to identify civilian-harm incidents from Telegram posts. Trained on a dataset of verified cases and engineered features, XGBoost outperformed logistic regression, random forest, LightGBM, and several large language models (including Gemma and Gemini) in precision and recall. The open-source methodology shifts researcher focus from searching to verifying, and is adaptable to other conflict zones.

SourceHacker News AIAuthor: Jimmc414
XGBoost beat LLMs at finding civilian-harm posts in Ukraine war Telegram data
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Key points

  • Bellingcat's XGBoost model efficiently filters Telegram posts for civilian harm, reducing search time significantly
  • The model uses feature engineering (keywords, emoji reactions, semantic similarity) and BERT embeddings
  • XGBoost outperformed LLMs like Gemma and Gemini in detection accuracy
  • Code and methodology are open-source for application in Sudan, Middle East, and beyond

Highlights and analysis are generated automatically and may contain errors. Check the original source.