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Toto 2.0: Time series forecasting enters the scaling era

Datadog releases Toto 2.0, an open-weights time series foundation model family ranging from 4M to 2.5B parameters. Results show consistent performance improvements with scale, achieving state-of-the-art on BOOM, GIFT-Eval, and TIME benchmarks. Compared to Toto 1.0, parameter efficiency improves 7x with dramatically faster inference. Trained solely on observability and synthetic data without any public datasets, yet generalizes broadly.

SourceHacker News AIAuthor: joelthelion
Toto 2.0: Time series forecasting enters the scaling era
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Key points

  • Toto 2.0 models scale from 4M to 2.5B parameters with monotonic performance gains and no saturation.
  • Achieves SOTA on BOOM, GIFT-Eval, and TIME benchmarks.
  • 7x parameter efficiency and significantly faster inference versus Toto 1.0.
  • Pretrained only on observability and synthetic data, no public forecasting data, yet leads general-purpose benchmarks.

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