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[Submitted on 1 Oct 2026] Title:The AI Risk Observatory: What Can We Learn from AI Disclosures in Annual Reports About Societal Resilience? View a PDF of the paper titled The AI Risk Observatory: What Can We Learn from AI Disclosures in Annual Reports About Societal Resilience?, by Bart Jaworski View PDF HTML (experimental) Abstract:Societal resilience research relies on access to useful and actionable data, which motivates our main research question: Can annual reports, processed at scale with LLMs, provide a useful signal about how companies disclose their response to AI? We test this by applying a reproducible two-stage classification pipeline to 9,821 annual reports from 1,362 UK listed companies (2020-2025, with partial 2026 data). We first validate the method against 474 human-annotated passages, finding high recall and moderate label-level agreement. We then report three empirical patterns: (i) between 2020 and 2025, the share of reports mentioning AI risk rose from 2.8% to 41.2%, while AI adoption disclosure also rose, from 13.8% to 45.2%, and named vendor mentions cluster around a small set of major providers led by Microsoft; (ii) disclosure varies substantially by Critical National Infrastructure sector and market segment: AIM reports disclose AI risk at far lower rates than Main Market reports, and sectors such as Energy and Data Infrastructure lag behind the rest in AI risk disclosure; and (iii) harm disclosures are near-absent (seven reports across the entire corpus). We develop a substantiveness classification to assess the quality of the disclosure and find that most AI risk disclosure is not substantive: in 2025, 41.2% of all reports mention AI as a risk, but only 4.3% contain AI risk disclosure we classify as substantive. Comments: 22 pages (9 main text + appendices), 12 figures, 7 tables. Code and data: this https URL (release dataset-v1.1) Subjects: Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI) Cite as: arXiv:2610.02281 [cs.AI] (or arXiv:2610.02281v1 [cs.AI] for this version) https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2610.02281 arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration) Submission history From: Bart Jaworski [view email] [v1] Thu, 1 Oct 2026 12:03:05 UTC (405 KB) Full-text links: Access Paper: View a PDF of the paper titled The AI Risk Observatory: What Can We Learn from AI Disclosures in Annual Reports About Societal Resilience?, by Bart Jaworski View PDF HTML (experimental) TeX Source view license Current browse context: cs.AI new | recent | 2026-10 Change to browse by: cs References & Citations NASA ADS Google Scholar Semantic Scholar Loading... Data provided by: Bibliographic Tools Bibliographic and Citation Tools Bibliographic Explorer Toggle Bibliographic Explorer (What is the Explorer?) Connected Papers Toggle Connected Papers (What is Connected Papers?) Litmaps Toggle Litmaps (What is Litmaps?) scite.ai Toggle scite Smart Citations (What are Smart Citations?) Code, Data, Media Code, Data and Media Associated with this Article alphaXiv Toggle alphaXiv (What is alphaXiv?) Links to Code Toggle CatalyzeX Code Finder for Papers (What is CatalyzeX?) DagsHub Toggle DagsHub (What is DagsHub?) GotitPub Toggle Gotit.pub (What is GotitPub?) Huggingface Toggle Hugging Face (What is Huggingface?) ScienceCast Toggle ScienceCast (What is ScienceCast?) Demos Demos Replicate Toggle Replicate (What is Replicate?) Spaces Toggle Hugging Face Spaces (What is Spaces?) Spaces Toggle TXYZ.AI (What is TXYZ.AI?) Related Papers Recommenders and Search Tools Link to Influence Flower Influence Flower (What are Influence Flowers?) Core recommender toggle CORE Recommender (What is CORE?) Author Venue Institution Topic About arXivLabs arXivLabs: experimental projects with community collaborators arXivLabs is a framework that allows collaborators to develop and share new arXiv features directly on our website. Both individuals and organizations that work with arXivLabs have embraced and accepted our values of openness, community, excellence, and user data privacy. arXiv is committed to these values and only works with partners that adhere to them. Have an idea for a project that will add value for arXiv's community? Learn more about arXivLabs. Which authors of this paper are endorsers? | Disable MathJax (What is MathJax?)