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SHIFT: Survival Prediction from Incomplete and Heterogeneous Genomic Data

Summary

SHIFT is a missingness-aware survival model that directly predicts from incomplete genomic inputs without test-time imputation, using masked self-attention and a feature-availability mask. It introduces variable-rate feature masking during training for robustness to heterogeneous missingness. Evaluated on glioblastoma and lung squamous cell carcinoma across multiple cohorts, SHIFT shows strong generalization and outperforms baselines and imputation-based methods, supporting missingness-aware modeling for multi-center survival prediction in precision oncology.

SourcearXiv Machine LearningAuthor: Muhammet Sami Yavuz, Ayhan Can Erdur, Sabri Mustafa Kahya, Benedikt Wiestler, Jana Lipkova
SHIFT: Survival Prediction from Incomplete and Heterogeneous Genomic Data
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[Submitted on 4 Jul 2026]

Title:SHIFT: Survival Prediction from Incomplete and Heterogeneous Genomic Data

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Abstract:Genomic prediction models often fail to transfer across institutions because sequencing panels differ across sites, creating structural feature missingness at deployment. Existing approaches to this challenge typically restrict analysis to genes shared across cohorts, exclude patients with incomplete profiles, or rely on test-time imputation, all of which can reduce robustness and limit the use of multi-center data. We propose Survival prediction Handling Incomplete Features using Transformer (SHIFT), a missingness-aware survival model that directly predicts from incomplete genomic inputs without test-time imputation. SHIFT represents each genomic feature separately and uses masked self-attention, along with a feature-availability mask, so that predictions are based only on observed inputs. Further, we introduce variable-rate feature masking during training to improve robustness to heterogeneous missingness patterns. We evaluate the approach on glioblastoma and lung squamous cell carcinoma with external validation across multiple cohorts, including a challenging setting with severe cross-cohort panel mismatch. Across these settings, SHIFT shows strong generalization and compares favorably with standard survival baselines and imputation-based approaches, while using a single model across differing feature sets. We also find that incorporating patients from incomplete cohorts during development can improve performance on external data, suggesting that partially observed cohorts need not be excluded from model building. These results support missingness-aware modeling as a practical strategy for multi-center survival prediction in precision oncology.

Comments: 18 pages, 2 figures

Subjects:

Machine Learning (cs.LG); Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI); Genomics (q-bio.GN)

Cite as: arXiv:2607.07725 [cs.LG]

(or arXiv:2607.07725v1 [cs.LG] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2607.07725

arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite

Submission history

From: Muhammet Sami Yavuz [view email] [v1] Sat, 4 Jul 2026 21:04:57 UTC (2,164 KB)

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Key points and analysis

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Key points

  • Handles incomplete genomic data without test-time imputation
  • Uses masked self-attention and feature-availability masks
  • Demonstrates strong generalization on glioblastoma and lung cancer cohorts
  • Shows incorporating incomplete cohort patients improves external performance

Highlights and analysis are generated automatically and may contain errors. Check the original source.