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On the Limits of Sampling-Based Reachability: Geometry, Dynamics, and Sample Complexity

This paper investigates how the geometry of the initial set, dynamics, and sampling distribution affect the accuracy of sampling-based reachability analysis. By formulating the problem as geometric support estimation, the authors identify two regularity conditions—positive reach of the initial set's complement and Lipschitz continuity of the dynamics—that allow a probability-mass coverage guarantee to be upgraded to Hausdorff distance accuracy. The sample complexity scales exponentially with state dimension and time horizon, and this exponential dependence is intrinsic, not an artifact of the method. Experiments on nonlinear systems confirm that adversarial sampling improves constants but not the scaling.

SourcearXiv RoboticsAuthor: Jixian Liu, Ihab Tabbara, Hussein Sibai, Enrique Mallada

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[Submitted on 21 Jul 2026]

Title:On the Limits of Sampling-Based Reachability: Geometry, Dynamics, and Sample Complexity

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Abstract:Reachability analysis is central to safety-critical control, robotics, and neural network verification, but classical computational methods, such as Hamilton--Jacobi reachability and set propagation, scale poorly with state dimension. Sampling-based methods have emerged as a promising alternative, often providing finite-sample guarantees that bound the probability-mass left uncovered. However, an explicit account of how the geometry of the initial set, the dynamics, and the sampling law affect the accuracy of the estimator is not fully available in the literature. We study this by casting sampling-based reachable-set recovery as geometric support estimation over a family of problems specified by an initial set, its dynamics, and a sampling law. First, we identify two regularity properties, positive reach of the initial set's complement and Lipschitz continuity of the dynamics, that together make recovery well-posed: a probability-mass coverage guarantee can be upgraded to accuracy $r$ in Hausdorff distance. Second, we bound the resulting sample complexity: recovery is achievable with $\tilde{\mathcal{O}}\big((e^{3LT}/r)^n\big)$ samples, exponential in both the state dimension and the time horizon. Third, we show that neither can be removed: an minimax lower bound of $\Omega\big((e^{LT}/r)^n\big)$ holds for every estimator, so the exponential dependence on dimension and the degradation over the horizon are both intrinsic, not artifacts of a particular method. Experiments on nonlinear systems confirm that adversarial sampling improves constants but not the scaling.

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Robotics (cs.RO)

Cite as: arXiv:2607.18606 [cs.RO]

(or arXiv:2607.18606v1 [cs.RO] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2607.18606

arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

Submission history

From: Jixian Liu [view email] [v1] Tue, 21 Jul 2026 00:54:27 UTC (5,890 KB)

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