Leveraging Physiological Signals to Predict Exam Outcomes with Machine Learning
This study applies machine learning to physiological data collected during exams to predict performance. Various models were compared, finding that while deep learning excels at complex patterns, simpler models like random forests can be more efficient and interpretable.
[2606.14960] Leveraging Physiological Signals to Predict Exam Outcomes with Machine Learning
[Submitted on 12 Jun 2026]
Title:Leveraging Physiological Signals to Predict Exam Outcomes with Machine Learning
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Abstract:This study investigates the application of machine learning models to predict exam outcomes using physiological data collected during examination sessions. Physiological stress indicators, including electrodermal activity, heart rate, and skin temperature, were analyzed to uncover their association with academic performance. A variety of machine learning approaches were employed, ranging from standard models like logistic regression, random forest, and support vector machines to more advanced architectures, including transformers, long short-term memory (LSTM), and gated recurrent unit (GRU) models. This diversity aimed to capture the complex interactions within the data effectively. A key focus was assessing the adaptability of transformers in processing numerical data and evaluating their performance in this novel context. Standard performance metrics, such as accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score, were used to compare model efficacy. The experimental results demonstrate that while deep learning models generally excel at capturing complex relationships in physiological data, simpler models like random forests can sometimes achieve superior performance while offering computational efficiency and interpretability. Furthermore, transformers demonstrated notable versatility, showcasing performances comparable to those of the LSTM and GRU models. This research underscores the importance of experimenting with a broad class of models that align with the objectives of the problem at hand, balancing precision, efficiency, and interpretability. By elucidating the relationships between physiological signals and academic performance, this study contributes to understanding stressors affecting students' mental health. It further promotes leveraging physiological data to enhance student well-being and academic outcomes.
Comments: 9 figures, and 5 tables
Subjects:
Machine Learning (cs.LG); Computers and Society (cs.CY)
MSC classes: 68Uxx Computing methodologies and applications
Cite as: arXiv:2606.14960 [cs.LG]
(or arXiv:2606.14960v1 [cs.LG] for this version)
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2606.14960
arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)
Submission history
From: Ramchandra Rimal [view email] [v1] Fri, 12 Jun 2026 21:07:07 UTC (5,402 KB)
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