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High-Frequency Pricing at Scale for E-Commerce

Summary

A new algorithmic pricing tool for fashion e-commerce sales campaigns uses daily-resolution demand forecasting and multi-objective optimization, achieving 6% higher profit in A/B tests at Zalando.

SourcearXiv Machine LearningAuthor: Stefan Birr, Tobias Huelden, Mones Raslan, Adele Gouttes, Andreas Schmitt, Mateusz Koren, Johannes Stephan, Robert Streek, Manuel Kunz, Tim Januschowski
High-Frequency Pricing at Scale for E-Commerce
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[2606.13741] High-Frequency Pricing at Scale for E-Commerce

[Submitted on 11 Jun 2026]

Title:High-Frequency Pricing at Scale for E-Commerce

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Abstract:This paper presents the design, development, and implementation of a specialized forecast-then-optimize algorithmic pricing tool for sales campaigns in fashion e-commerce. Sales events present unique challenges for pricing including volatile demand patterns, rapid pricing decisions, and the need to balance short-term revenue with long-term profitability. We describe our approach combining daily-resolution demand forecasting using gradient-boosted trees with a multi-objective optimization framework that maximizes both long-term profit and net merchandise value for more than 5 million articles. Our solution addresses key limitations of existing weekly-granularity systems by implementing a forecast-then-optimize architecture that reduces pricing decision time from hours to minutes. We validate our approach through 23 A/B tests across 12 markets during 2023-2024 sales campaigns at Zalando, one of Europe's leading online fashion retailers. Experimental results demonstrate that the new pricing system achieves approximately 6% higher profit while maintaining equivalent performance on sales and revenue compared to the previous manual-algorithmic hybrid approach. Based on these results, the algorithm was successfully deployed to production and now handles the majority of algorithmic pricing decisions for sales campaigns at the company.

Subjects:

Machine Learning (cs.LG)

Cite as: arXiv:2606.13741 [cs.LG]

(or arXiv:2606.13741v1 [cs.LG] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2606.13741

arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite

Submission history

From: Stefan Birr [view email] [v1] Thu, 11 Jun 2026 13:01:44 UTC (368 KB)

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Key points and analysis

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Key points

  • Daily-resolution forecasting with gradient-boosted trees reduces pricing decision time from hours to minutes.
  • Multi-objective optimization balances long-term profit and net merchandise value for over 5 million articles.
  • 23 A/B tests across 12 markets show ~6% profit improvement with equivalent sales and revenue.
  • Successfully deployed to production, handling majority of algorithmic pricing decisions for sales campaigns.

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