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[Submitted on 4 Sep 2026] Title:HB-PVI: A Hierarchical Bayesian Personalization and Value-of-Information Framework for Complex Activity Recognition View a PDF of the paper titled HB-PVI: A Hierarchical Bayesian Personalization and Value-of-Information Framework for Complex Activity Recognition, by Hammed A. Olayinka View PDF HTML (experimental) Abstract:Personalization can improve activity-recognition performance, but participant-specific gains are heterogeneous, and every additional calibration label has an acquisition cost. This study presents HB-PVI, a hierarchical Bayesian personalization and value-of-information framework jointly modeling participant heterogeneity, the benefit and harm of four personalization mechanisms, and the economic value of an additional label, for the 47-participant MUSIC-CAR complex-activity cohort. A leakage-safe, leave-one-participant-out evaluation combines a sequential-Monte-Carlo participant-effect updater with a Student-$t$ hierarchical gain model and a one-step expected-value-of-sample-information (EVSI) stopping rule. Adapter personalization produced small positive mean F1 gains, growing from 0.00099 at one label to 0.00198 at ten, while adapter-plus-head and prototype-residual personalization were negative on average. Under the primary practical-benefit threshold ($\Delta_{\min}=0.01$) and cost setting, one-step EVSI was zero at every decision state, so the policy purchased no labels and retained population inference for all 47 participants, matching always-stop exactly (region-of-practical-equivalence probability $=1$). Relative to fixed ten-shot adapter personalization, this reduced labeling by 100\% while keeping the posterior mean F1 loss at 0.00217 (95\% credible interval, 0.00048 to 0.00389), with posterior probability 0.9992 of remaining below the 0.005 tolerance. HB-PVI was utility-optimal in 199 of 216 cost-threshold settings and in every setting at or above the primary label cost. These results argue for a population-first deployment policy whenever personalization gains are small relative to labeling, computation, and harm costs, and show that value-of-information reasoning, not raw predictive accuracy, should drive personalization decisions in health-sensing applications. Comments: Manuscript submitted to IEEE Journal of Biomedical and Health Informatics Subjects: Machine Learning (cs.LG) Cite as: arXiv:2609.05582 [cs.LG] (or arXiv:2609.05582v1 [cs.LG] for this version) https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2609.05582 arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration) Submission history From: Hammed Olayinka [view email] [v1] Fri, 4 Sep 2026 15:38:07 UTC (1,521 KB) Full-text links: Access Paper: View a PDF of the paper titled HB-PVI: A Hierarchical Bayesian Personalization and Value-of-Information Framework for Complex Activity Recognition, by Hammed A. Olayinka View PDF HTML (experimental) TeX Source view license Current browse context: cs.LG new | recent | 2026-09 Change to browse by: cs References & Citations NASA ADS Google Scholar Semantic Scholar Loading... Data provided by: Bibliographic Tools Bibliographic and Citation Tools Bibliographic Explorer Toggle Bibliographic Explorer (What is the Explorer?) Connected Papers Toggle Connected Papers (What is Connected Papers?) Litmaps Toggle Litmaps (What is Litmaps?) scite.ai Toggle scite Smart Citations (What are Smart Citations?) Code, Data, Media Code, Data and Media Associated with this Article alphaXiv Toggle alphaXiv (What is alphaXiv?) Links to Code Toggle CatalyzeX Code Finder for Papers (What is CatalyzeX?) DagsHub Toggle DagsHub (What is DagsHub?) GotitPub Toggle Gotit.pub (What is GotitPub?) Huggingface Toggle Hugging Face (What is Huggingface?) ScienceCast Toggle ScienceCast (What is ScienceCast?) Demos Demos Replicate Toggle Replicate (What is Replicate?) Spaces Toggle Hugging Face Spaces (What is Spaces?) Spaces Toggle TXYZ.AI (What is TXYZ.AI?) Related Papers Recommenders and Search Tools Link to Influence Flower Influence Flower (What are Influence Flowers?) Core recommender toggle CORE Recommender (What is CORE?) IArxiv recommender toggle IArxiv Recommender (What is IArxiv?) Author Venue Institution Topic About arXivLabs arXivLabs: experimental projects with community collaborators arXivLabs is a framework that allows collaborators to develop and share new arXiv features directly on our website. Both individuals and organizations that work with arXivLabs have embraced and accepted our values of openness, community, excellence, and user data privacy. arXiv is committed to these values and only works with partners that adhere to them. Have an idea for a project that will add value for arXiv's community? Learn more about arXivLabs. Which authors of this paper are endorsers? | Disable MathJax (What is MathJax?)