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Gaussian Process Latent Factor Regression for Low-Data, High-Dimensional Output Problems

Summary

A new model called GPLFR combines compression and prediction by decoding high-dimensional outputs from a low-dimensional latent state with a Gaussian process prior, suited for low-data regimes. First demonstrated on building a spatially resolved emulator of global climate models for rocky exoplanets.

SourcearXiv Machine LearningAuthor: Edward T. Stevenson, Eric T. Wolf, Mei Ting Mak, N. J. Mayne, Miles Cranmer
Gaussian Process Latent Factor Regression for Low-Data, High-Dimensional Output Problems
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[2606.06576] Gaussian Process Latent Factor Regression for Low-Data, High-Dimensional Output Problems

[Submitted on 4 Jun 2026]

Title:Gaussian Process Latent Factor Regression for Low-Data, High-Dimensional Output Problems

View a PDF of the paper titled Gaussian Process Latent Factor Regression for Low-Data, High-Dimensional Output Problems, by Edward T. Stevenson and 4 other authors

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Abstract:In the sciences, regression tasks often require predicting high-dimensional outputs from few training examples. Multi-output Gaussian processes excel in low-data regimes but typically struggle with high-dimensional outputs. Compress-then-predict pipelines such as PCA-GP (principal component analysis plus Gaussian process regression) handle high dimensionality, but rely on bases optimized for reconstruction rather than prediction. To address this gap, we propose a model that represents each output as a linear-Gaussian decoding of a low-dimensional latent state drawn from a Gaussian process prior. By analytically marginalizing the decoder weights, we couple compression and prediction in a single objective that scales to high-dimensional outputs. We refer to this model as Gaussian process latent factor regression (GPLFR). We demonstrate GPLFR by building the first spatially resolved emulator of global climate models for rocky exoplanets.

Comments: 9 pages content + 22 pages appendix/references. Supporting code at this https URL

Subjects:

Machine Learning (cs.LG); Earth and Planetary Astrophysics (astro-ph.EP); Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics (astro-ph.IM); Machine Learning (stat.ML)

Cite as: arXiv:2606.06576 [cs.LG]

(or arXiv:2606.06576v1 [cs.LG] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2606.06576

arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

Submission history

From: Edward Stevenson [view email] [v1] Thu, 4 Jun 2026 18:00:00 UTC (16,424 KB)

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Key points

  • GPLFR represents each output as a linear-Gaussian decoding of a low-dimensional latent state from a Gaussian process prior
  • It analytically marginalizes decoder weights, coupling compression and prediction in a single objective that scales to high dimensions
  • Demonstrated on emulating global climate models for rocky exoplanets

Highlights and analysis are generated automatically and may contain errors. Check the original source.