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From Graphs to Gradients: Physics-Inspired Structural Attribution for Cyber-Physical IoT Systems and Beyond

Summary

A novel framework inspired by statistical mechanics models variable dependencies through an undirected, energy-based representation, enabling dependency-aware attribution without reconstructing causal graphs. Simulations on an industrial IoT testbed demonstrate higher accuracy, robustness, and scalability compared to graph-based approaches.

SourcearXiv AIAuthor: Spyridon Evangelatos, Christos Diou, Georgios Th. Papadopoulos, Evangelos Markakis, Panagiotis Sarigiannidis
From Graphs to Gradients: Physics-Inspired Structural Attribution for Cyber-Physical IoT Systems and Beyond
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[Submitted on 6 Jul 2026]

Title:From Graphs to Gradients: Physics-Inspired Structural Attribution for Cyber-Physical IoT Systems and Beyond

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Abstract:Interpretable explanation methods in Artificial Intelligence aim to uncover the underlying causes and their effects, enabling a deeper understanding of why a system behaves in a certain way under different inputs. Unlike traditional explainability methods, which mainly highlight correlations between input and output variables, causal explanation focuses on interventional questions. By doing so, it provides more robust insights, helping users understand automated decisions, especially in high-risk domains. Recovering an explicit directed causal structure, however, is often impractical in large-scale, hybrid cyber-physical systems with feedback loops and partial observability. This paper introduces a novel framework inspired by statistical mechanics that instead models variable dependencies through an undirected, energy-based representation of cyber-physical IoT systems. Our approach enables rigorous dependency-aware attribution by analysing how variations in the energy landscape reflect the influence of individual components, without recovering a directed causal graph. It also supports reasoning about perturbation effects across hybrid interactions, providing reliable explanations of abnormal behaviours. We empirically examined our framework through simulations on an industrial IoT testbed with hybrid continuous and discrete variables, demonstrating higher attribution accuracy, improved robustness and better scalability than state-of-the-art graph-based approaches. While the attributions are not intended to fully recover the system's generative dynamics, they provide valuable, dependency-aware explanations supporting both human interpretation and downstream predictive and diagnostic tasks. Although demonstrated in industrial IoT security, our framework also applies to other high-dimensional cyber-physical and socio-technical systems requiring principled, structural explanations.

Subjects:

Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI)

Cite as: arXiv:2607.05563 [cs.AI]

(or arXiv:2607.05563v1 [cs.AI] for this version)

https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2607.05563

arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

Submission history

From: Georgios Papadopoulos Th. [view email] [v1] Mon, 6 Jul 2026 18:59:27 UTC (886 KB)

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Key points

  • The framework uses energy landscape variations to attribute influence of components without directed causal graphs.
  • It outperformed state-of-the-art graph-based methods in attribution accuracy and scalability on an industrial IoT testbed.
  • The approach applies to high-dimensional cyber-physical and socio-technical systems requiring structural explanations.

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