AI disruption in private credit: exposure to software firms in BDCs
AI disruption in private credit: exposure to software firms in BDCs
BIS Bulletin | No 128 |
14 July 2026
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Key takeaways
Business development companies (BDCs) have lent around $115 billion to software firms, which represents about a fifth of all their lending and over 80% of their fast-growing technology portfolios.
Borrowers' revenue uncertainty posed by generative artificial intelligence has not affected these loans yet, and neither BDCs nor their equity investors have priced software exposure differently.
Recently, credit spreads have narrowed, reducing the buffers to absorb losses, and a few large BDCs are exposed to a shared pool of borrowers, though low leverage and secured lending may limit spillovers.
The views expressed in this publication are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the BIS or its member central banks.
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