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[Submitted on 14 Sep 2026] Title:When Does Test-Time Physical Diagnosis Pay? A Frozen Policy Buys Evidence It Never Reads View a PDF of the paper titled When Does Test-Time Physical Diagnosis Pay? A Frozen Policy Buys Evidence It Never Reads, by Zhengshu Zhang View PDF HTML (experimental) Abstract:When a robot faces unfamiliar physical conditions, a common approach is to collect evidence about what changed and adapt. For such diagnosis to improve behavior, six ordered empirical conditions must hold: a meaningful reference, identifiability of the physical condition, use of the acquired evidence, decision value, selection value over a fixed alternative, and safe realization. We test this chain in controlled and public environments. It holds end to end in our controlled environments. After transfer to unseen mechanisms, however, it breaks at evidence use. On decisions requiring the full trace, the frozen decoder does not change its choice. A linear model using only trace increments recovers the correct choice on mechanisms excluded from fitting, showing that the trace is informative but unused. The failure is concentrated at the richest evidence level: those decisions fall to chance, while decisions settled with lower-cost evidence remain correct, a split hidden by aggregate accuracy. The same chain can fail at other links in public environments. Successful physical identification therefore guarantees neither evidence use nor useful adaptation; evaluation should identify where the chain breaks rather than rely on recovery accuracy or aggregate performance alone. Comments: 12 pages, 4 figures Subjects: Robotics (cs.RO); Machine Learning (cs.LG) Cite as: arXiv:2609.22299 [cs.RO] (or arXiv:2609.22299v1 [cs.RO] for this version) https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2609.22299 arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration) Submission history From: Zhengshu Zhang [view email] [v1] Mon, 14 Sep 2026 15:52:59 UTC (72 KB) Full-text links: Access Paper: View a PDF of the paper titled When Does Test-Time Physical Diagnosis Pay? A Frozen Policy Buys Evidence It Never Reads, by Zhengshu Zhang View PDF HTML (experimental) TeX Source view license Current browse context: cs.RO new | recent | 2026-09 Change to browse by: cs cs.LG References & Citations NASA ADS Google Scholar Semantic Scholar Loading... Data provided by: Bibliographic Tools Bibliographic and Citation Tools Bibliographic Explorer Toggle Bibliographic Explorer (What is the Explorer?) Connected Papers Toggle Connected Papers (What is Connected Papers?) Litmaps Toggle Litmaps (What is Litmaps?) scite.ai Toggle scite Smart Citations (What are Smart Citations?) Code, Data, Media Code, Data and Media Associated with this Article alphaXiv Toggle alphaXiv (What is alphaXiv?) Links to Code Toggle CatalyzeX Code Finder for Papers (What is CatalyzeX?) DagsHub Toggle DagsHub (What is DagsHub?) GotitPub Toggle Gotit.pub (What is GotitPub?) Huggingface Toggle Hugging Face (What is Huggingface?) ScienceCast Toggle ScienceCast (What is ScienceCast?) Demos Demos Replicate Toggle Replicate (What is Replicate?) Spaces Toggle Hugging Face Spaces (What is Spaces?) Spaces Toggle TXYZ.AI (What is TXYZ.AI?) Related Papers Recommenders and Search Tools Link to Influence Flower Influence Flower (What are Influence Flowers?) Core recommender toggle CORE Recommender (What is CORE?) Author Venue Institution Topic About arXivLabs arXivLabs: experimental projects with community collaborators arXivLabs is a framework that allows collaborators to develop and share new arXiv features directly on our website. Both individuals and organizations that work with arXivLabs have embraced and accepted our values of openness, community, excellence, and user data privacy. arXiv is committed to these values and only works with partners that adhere to them. Have an idea for a project that will add value for arXiv's community? Learn more about arXivLabs. Which authors of this paper are endorsers? | Disable MathJax (What is MathJax?)